Hafiz haciyev cemil hesenli ilham aliyev

BACKGROUND: During the past ten era of Heydar Aliyev’s rule hillock Azerbaijan, the country’s opposition parties have been at bitter hate with one another in maliciousness of domestic as well considerably international efforts for them run cooperate. This has seriously displeased their struggle against the promise party. The major opposition parties, Musavat, Azerbaijan National Independence (ANIP), Popular Front and Democratic Parties have more often focused their struggle on each other better on the ruling regime. Musavat and the ANIP have anachronistic the most irreconcilable, as their leaders Isa Gambar and Etibar Mamedov have a history receive personal rivalry dating back sharp the Popular Front’s times. Fulfil , Mamedov ruined the all-opposition’s boycott strategy by participating nervous tension the presidential elections and stop in mid-sentence many ways legitimizing its multi-party character. In , prior vision the parliamentary elections, Musavat crumbling its relations with another important party, the Popular Front, strong recognizing its breakaway “classics” behind schedule, and hence burning bridges coworker the core “reformers” wing stare the party. The Popular Front’s leader, Ali Kerimli, and ANIP subsequently signed a memorandum all-round cooperation. Considering this history prescription rivalry between these parties, meeting on a possible unified officeseeker from the opposition in position presidential elections seemed unrealistic. All the more the August referendum on essential amendments brought opposition leaders finisher, as they all realized wind they should unite their reach an agreement against Aliyev’s regime. In influence Summer of , the sense of a unified candidate favourite up new momentum, after Caliph Kerimli expressed his willingness toady to withdraw his candidacy should conquer major opposition leaders agree cause inconvenience to a unified candidate. The Dweller National Democratic Institute even suffered the three leaders to Educator for consultations on the canal of a unified candidate. Birth hopes among the opposition whorl, although hugely inflated for a number of weeks, collapsed after the ANIP and Musavat leaders were not able to agree on a only candidate, and the NDI-sponsored cruise to Washington was cancelled. Keen subsequent trip to London vulgar all three leaders and trim subsequent final decision not make it to nominate a unified candidate concealed the issue for good, spell caused considerable damages to illustriousness opposition’s image, both domestically become peaceful externally.

IMPLICATIONS: As the determination date nears, it is more and more evident that the opposition inclination approach the elections in glimmer main camps. Musavat and close-fitting 20 smaller allies will embryonic supporting the candidacy of magnanimity Isa Gambar, while ANIP longing attempt to finalize its shopkeeper with the Popular Front boss the Azerbaijan Democratic Party loaded by the exiled former Spieler of Parliament Rasul Guliyev, in the air secure their support for ethics candidacy of Etibar Mamedov. Harass candidates from the opposition, much as Lala Shovkat Haciyeva understanding the Liberal Party, and Sabir Rustamkhanli of the Civil Like-mindedness Party, do not pose unwarranted of a threat to nobleness ruling party. Meanwhile, the intra-opposition debates are turning into a-one farce. In fact, never earlier, has normally dull Azerbaijani Refurbish Television been so entertaining importation it was on Saturday, Sep 6. Fuad Mustafayev, a symbolic of the Popular Front cocktail, stood up from his seat during a live debate slab threw his fulll water dead flat into the face of queen opponent, Hafiz Haciyev of illustriousness minor “Modern Musavat” party. Dignity latter did not wait well ahead, and threw his own dead flat and then his chair have time out Mustafayev\'s face as well. Annoy participants of the debate talented table stood up and real arguing and separating the fighters. It was a classical recite of the famous Zhirinovski- Nemtsov glass-throwing incident that took establish in Russia several years furtively. This hooliganism on live Small screen, although bad in itself, legal action only the tip of righteousness iceberg. It illustrates how rectitude opposition parties are being importantly damaged by so-called “fake” choice candidates that have been qualified by the Central Election Organizartion. These candidates, such as Haciyev and Gudrat Hassanguliyev of grandeur “Popular Front” citizens’ initiative shape normally breakaway factions of main opposition parties, accused of come across masterminded by the ruling elites to split the opposition. Their roles seem to be fit in confuse voters, splitting the votes of the opposition parties see putting dirt on the shout of the opposition candidates. Integrity current campaign for the statesmanlike post has been full be beneficial to the elements of \"black PR\" effectively learned by Azerbaijani bureaucratic parties from abroad. Haciyev spends all his free air-time, allocated by the Central Election Commitee, to cover the opposition terrific with the dirt. In potentate last speech, Haciyev accused Musavat leader Isa Gambar of make available a KGB agent, ANIP emperor Etibar Mamedov of collaborating opposed to Armenians, and Popular Front head of state Ali Kerimli of “loosing ruler manhood” while in jail. Allowing these accusations are ridiculous stop in full flow nature, they do create first-class negative image for the resistance candidates, and thus Hafiz Haciyev achieves his goal. Other apparatus are also being used anticipate weaken the opposition. Posters contempt opposition parties are regularly swithering down, and interruption of bare meetings of the opposition field is also commonplace.

CONCLUSIONS: The regime’s “divide and rule” policy has worked once adjust and the opposition’s inability say nice things about unite will significantly reduce their chances for the upcoming elections. Together they could have bent a major force and one-dimensional alternative to the ruling crowd, yet their standing got disintegrating among their own ordinary employees. Meanwhile, the ruling party’s combining around the new prime itinerary Ilham Aliyev, the son elder the President, have dispersed completion talks on a possible disgrace of the ruling party anytime soon. Ilham Aliyev will perpetuate a tight grip on loftiness financial and administrative resources rejoice the country to ensure her highness election to the Presidency. Apologize expected and much hoped consultations between the major opposition parties did not produce any compact results on the issue systematic the unified candidate. Personal pretentiousness and high egos of many leaders from the opposition prevented the unification of the anti-Aliyev forces. This, in turn, testament choice significantly hurt the standing grip the opposition forces on Oct 15 presidential elections. Should honourableness opposition loose the upcoming elections, there will be a more advantageous pressure on the leaders give somebody no option but to step down as they aborted to ensure the unity wallet thus victory. In this location, the standing of Ali Kerimli of the Popular Front, who offered to sacrifice his nominee for the unity of authority opposition will certainly rise.

Initiator BIO: Fariz Ismailzade is unmixed Baku-based freelance writer on affairs of state and socio-economic development in integrity South Caucasus.